by John Brian Shannon
In short, we are using more energy — but it is ‘cleaner’ energy.
For instance, half of the added electrical capacity every year comes from renewable energy. And with major political initiatives in many countries promoting renewable energy, it is realistic to think that the share of renewables will increase over the coming decades.
Even major petroleum companies are changing their ways.
A recent, landmark report by Royal Dutch Shell illustrates a dramatically new order among the various kinds of energy and how the energy we use will change over the next 80-90 years. In Shell’s; NEW LENS SCENARIOS – A SHIFT IN PERSPECTIVE FOR A WORLD IN TRANSITION the company discusses two different scenarios, named ‘Mountains’ and ‘Oceans’ in our global energy future.
The boom infigures prominently, with natural gas quickly ramping-up to become the number one kind of energy in the world by 2030.
“The underlying pent-up demand for gas is very strong… we see it being sucked up, every molecule.” — Jeremy Bentham, the main authour of the NEW LENS SCENARIOS – A SHIFT IN PERSPECTIVE FOR A WORLD IN TRANSITION, talking about the anticipated level of demand for natural gas between now and 2030
becomes the dominant kind of energy by the mid-2060’s supplying 38% of all demand worldwide!
- By 2060, the report has PV solar power moving from today’s 13th-place, into 1st-place, to provide at least 38% of global energy demand. See: Shell Sees Solar As The Biggest Energy Source After Exiting It in 2009.
- Due to enhanced and clean combustion technology; “Global emissions of carbon dioxide dropping to near zero by 2100.”
- Shell New Lens Scenarios says; “By 2100, energy from oil will account for only 10% of worldwide energy use and natural gas will account for just 7.5 percent of the global total.”
While the ‘energy produced to emissions released ratio’ looks utterly dreadful over the short term, over the long term it looks quite wonderful. If only we had a time machine to take us to the latter half of this century, we could all go for a nice breath of fresh air!
For more information, please visit the following websites:
Total energy use: World Bank (data from 2010)
Energy use per country: World Bank (data from 2010)
Energy use per person: World Bank (data from 2010)
Energy us per 1000$ of GDP: World Bank (data from 2010)
End uses for energy: Energy Information Administration (data from 2008)
Breakdown of energy supply: REN21 (data from 2010)
Energy Use Infographic (arabiangazette.com)
JOHN BRIAN SHANNON
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